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Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Broncos to run the 5th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Broncos this year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 34.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 20.3.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

The New York Jets safeties profile as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.4 per game) this year.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 66.5% Adjusted Completion% this season shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 78.0% figure.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr. ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 6