My Account Log Out

reorder

Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projections to run 65.7 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Bengals defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Broncos being a massive 7.5-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

With a high 33.7% Route% (23rd percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. has been among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 60.0% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects an impressive decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 78.0% mark.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.4%) to wideouts since the start of last season (63.4%).

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™