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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 9th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos offense has played at the 8th-quickest tempo in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.54 seconds per play.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Denver Broncos O-line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • With an exceptional 78.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. places among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has run a route on 32.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 22nd percentile among WRs.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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