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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have only 130.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 45.0% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a noteable growth in his passing game volume over last season's 29.8% mark.
  • The Broncos O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 71.5% Adjusted Catch% this year shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 78.0% mark.

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