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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.12 seconds per snap.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

The Denver offensive line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

With an outstanding 78.0% Adjusted Catch% (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a top-tier 32.1% Route Participation% (21st percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. rates as one of the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.

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