My Account Log Out
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projection model to call 68.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the league.
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has run fewer routes this year (45.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (29.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 78.0% to 69.5%.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus WRs this year (62.4%).
  • The Jaguars linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™