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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -192 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos as the 4th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Broncos are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 66.2 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a monstrous 59.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 70.0% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a material drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 78.0% figure.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's group of safeties has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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