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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (63.3% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 5th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (48.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.8%).
  • The Broncos O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are an enormous 8-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks an impressive decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 78.0% rate.

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