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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+112/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Broncos.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 49.0% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass attack utilization over last year's 29.8% rate.
  • The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.3%) versus wide receivers this year (69.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 78.0% to 67.5%.

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