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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 60.3 per game on average).
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • After averaging 21.0 air yards per game last year, Marvin Mims Jr. has undergone big improvement this year, now boasting 59.0 per game.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 20.3.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 78.0% to 69.9%.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a material drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 12.2% mark.

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