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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 135.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 58.5 per game on average).
  • The New York Giants defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.7 per game) this year.
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has totaled significantly more air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 36.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 20.3.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 8.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 78.0% to 66.9%.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 6.0 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteworthy reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 8.2 figure.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 12.18 figure last year.

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