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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Philadelphia Eagles vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to pass on 60.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 129.0 offensive plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically prompt increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 54.9% Route Participation% this season reflects an impressive growth in his passing game workload over last season's 29.8% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 78.0% to 74.4%.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 6.6 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a significant reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 8.2 mark.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this season, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 12.18 figure last season.
  • The Eagles pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (54.1%) versus wideouts this year (54.1%).
  • The Eagles pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

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