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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented team in football (64.1% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have only 130.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 45.0% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a noteable growth in his passing game volume over last season's 29.8% mark.
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has notched far more air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 71.5% Adjusted Catch% this year shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving prowess over last year's 78.0% mark.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s receiving effectiveness has diminished this season, notching just 6.35 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.22 mark last season.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 12.18 rate last season.
  • This year, the imposing Buffalo Bills defense has allowed a measly 108.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best in the league.

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