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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.12 seconds per snap.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • With an outstanding 78.0% Adjusted Catch% (95th percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. rates as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a top-tier 32.1% Route Participation% (21st percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. rates as one of the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • With a lackluster 7.8 adjusted yards per target (25th percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. rates as one of the bottom WRs in the league in the NFL.
  • With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Marvin Mims Jr. has been as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in football in picking up extra yardage.

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