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Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-112).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -112.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Broncos have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.Marvin Mims Jr.'s 44.2% Route% this season marks a noteable growth in his passing attack volume over last season's 29.8% figure.After totaling 21.0 air yards per game last season, Marvin Mims Jr. has undergone big improvement this season, currently boasting 38.0 per game.The Denver offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Broncos are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.The projections expect the Broncos to be the 11th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.Marvin Mims Jr.'s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 78.0% to 71.7%.Marvin Mims Jr.'s pass-game efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging a measly 6.72 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.22 figure last season.
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