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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projection model to call 68.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the league.
  • Marvin Mims Jr. has run fewer routes this year (45.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (29.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 78.0% to 69.5%.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 6.6 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates an impressive drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 8.2 figure.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a significant drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 12.2% rate.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus WRs this year (62.4%).

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