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Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football (63.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Broncos.

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 49.0% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass attack utilization over last year's 29.8% rate.

Marvin Mims Jr. has accrued far more air yards this season (46.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 78.0% to 67.5%.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 7.1 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a material decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 8.2 rate.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 12.18 rate last year.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13