Marvin Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-140).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
Favors Under
The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Marvin Jones has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, hauling in a mere 56.0% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 6th percentile among wideouts