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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Marvin Jones Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Marvin Jones has posted a whopping 65.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 79th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.61 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Marvin Jones has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, hauling in just 56.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile among wideouts

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