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Marvin Jones

Marvin Jones Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

Marvin Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+304/-545).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +310 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +304.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars are a huge 9.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Marvin Jones has totaled a monstrous 84.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among wide receivers.

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line has afforded their quarterback 2.56 seconds before getting pressured (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Marvin Jones's 45.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 53.5.

Marvin Jones's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 63.4% to 54.7%.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

More Marvin Jones Player Props

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