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Marquise Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

Marquise Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-360/-330).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +335 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -360.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.4% red zone pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Marquise Brown profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching a remarkable 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

While Marquise Brown has earned 18.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's passing attack near the end zone this week at 10.2%.

More Marquise Brown Player Props

Marquise Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

Marquise Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8