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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+275/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -290 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.
  • In regards to air yards, Marquise Brown ranks in the towering 79th percentile among WRs this year, totaling a staggering 72.0 per game.
  • Marquise Brown has been in the 76th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 50.8 figure this year.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.
  • This year, the stout Lions defense has conceded a puny 65.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 5th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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