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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+360/-510).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +370 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.5% red zone pass rate.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
  • While Marquise Brown has earned 12.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Kansas City's offense near the end zone in this game at 17.7%.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most TDs in the NFL (1.36 per game) against the Titans defense this year.

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