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Marquise Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquise Brown Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+445/-540).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +485 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +445.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.

The model projects Marquise Brown to be a less important option in his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this contest (9.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.8% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football versus the Broncos defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the fierce Broncos defense has given up a mere 0.20 passing touchdowns per game to opposing WRs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

More Marquise Brown Player Props

Marquise Brown TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquise Brown Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11