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Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +174 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

With a fantastic 4.1 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown rates as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.7 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Marquise Brown to be much less involved in his offense's pass game in this week's game (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.1% in games he has played).

More Marquise Brown Player Props

Marquise Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 9