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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Marquise Brown is positioned as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 4.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.
  • Marquise Brown profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching a remarkable 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Marquise Brown to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack in this week's game (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (20.1% in games he has played).

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