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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • Marquise Brown profiles as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 5.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 94th percentile.
  • With an outstanding 73.0% Adjusted Completion% (78th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown has been as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wideouts.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.5%) vs. wideouts this year (72.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • While Marquise Brown has accounted for 21.4% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a less important option in Kansas City's pass game this week at 14.5%.

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