My Account Log Out

reorder

Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

In this game, Marquise Brown is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 75th percentile among wideouts with 6.4 targets.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Marquise Brown rates as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a stellar 4.4 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

While Marquise Brown has earned 22.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's passing offense in this week's contest at 17.5%.

This year, the strong Lions defense has yielded a paltry 62.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-best rate in football.

The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

More Marquise Brown Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™