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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-141/+127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The leading projections forecast Marquise Brown to garner 7.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Marquise Brown has received 26.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Kansas City's pass game in this contest at 19.5%.
  • Since the start of last season, the formidable Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded a mere 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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