reorder

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-159/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -159.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 61.2% of their chances: the 6th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

With an exceptional 3.5 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown has been among the top WRs in the league in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast Marquise Brown to be a much smaller part of his team's air attack in this week's game (9.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

This year, the tough Houston Texans defense has yielded a meager 56.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Houston's unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

More Marquise Brown Player Props

Marquise Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 14