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Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -164.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

With an outstanding 3.9 adjusted receptions per game (80th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown ranks among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

While Marquise Brown has garnered 16.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Kansas City's passing offense in this contest at 11.0%.

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Marquise Brown ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 12