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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.

Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

In this game, Marquise Brown is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 80th percentile among wide receivers with 6.7 targets.

Marquise Brown's 48.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 82nd percentile for wide receivers.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been excellent last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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