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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

Marquise Brown Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Marquise Brown to total 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marquise Brown has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 95.3% of snaps compared to just 79.8% last season.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.8%) vs. wideouts this year (64.8%).

The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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