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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-134/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • With an impressive 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (82nd percentile) this year, Marquise Brown stands among the leading WRs in the NFL in the NFL.
  • Marquise Brown profiles as one of the best possession receivers in the league, catching a remarkable 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Marquise Brown to be a much smaller piece of his team's air attack in this week's game (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (20.1% in games he has played).
  • Marquise Brown grades out as one of the worst WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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