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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

Marquise Brown checks in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 55.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

With a fantastic 74.4% Adjusted Catch% (80th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown ranks among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

While Marquise Brown has accounted for 23.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of Kansas City's passing attack in this week's contest at 17.0%.

Marquise Brown is positioned as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.

The Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) versus wide receivers this year (59.5%).

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