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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be rolling with backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Marquise Brown to total 6.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The model projects Marquise Brown to be much less involved in his team's pass attack in this week's game (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.6% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 125.4 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Marquise Brown checks in as one of the worst wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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