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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 133.1 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marquise Brown ranks as one of the bottom WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
  • The Broncos pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs this year, allowing 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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