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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 71.6% Adjusted Catch% (81st percentile) this year, Marquise Brown has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.
  • The Titans pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.3%) vs. wide receivers this year (71.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Marquise Brown places as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers in the league in space.

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