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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
  • The Colts defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (166.0) to wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • While Marquise Brown has garnered 16.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much less involved in Kansas City's passing offense in this contest at 11.0%.
  • With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Marquise Brown ranks among the top pass-catching WRs in the league in the open field.

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