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Marquise Brown

Marquise Brown Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Marquise Brown Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With a stellar 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (76th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • While Marquise Brown has garnered 17.6% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Kansas City's passing offense in this week's game at 10.5%.
  • Marquise Brown rates as one of the worst WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.
  • The Broncos defense has conceded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 120.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 6.51 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

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