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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-1250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +740 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season (74.4% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Right now, the 10th-most run-focused team in the league in the red zone (45.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the San Francisco 49ers.

With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching just 43.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile among WRs

The Cardinals defense has given up the 5th-fewest TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 0.89 per game since the start of last season.

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