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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+385/-570).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -435 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -570.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has garnered 8.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Pittsburgh's passing attack near the goal line in this contest at 15.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 18.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 32.7.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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