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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Steelers to pass on 61.5% of their chances: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower run volume.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • The projections expect Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a more important option in his team's passing game in this week's game (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.7% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Steelers this year (a measly 52.9 per game on average).
  • With a measly 1.2 adjusted catches per game (20th percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling places as one of the weakest pass-catching wide receivers in the league.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the best safety corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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