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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+123/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the model to see 132.9 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has earned 4.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Pittsburgh's passing offense in this contest at 13.0%.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 47.9% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a remarkable gain in his receiving skills over last year's 44.0% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.0 per game) this year.
  • With a feeble 0.9 adjusted catches per game (9th percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling rates as one of the worst wide receivers in the game in the league.

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