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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be rolling out backup QB Mac Jones this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the 49ers to pass on 62.2% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.2 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 1.9% Target Rate this season illustrates a significant regression in his passing game volume over last season's 10.8% mark.

With a feeble 44.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (13th percentile) since the start of last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling stands as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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