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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-123/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -107.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been one of the top wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging an excellent 7.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 96th percentile.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.1%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (68.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league, catching just 43.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile among WRs

Since the start of last season, the daunting Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 9th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a feeble 7.9 yards.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's CB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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