Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+265/-385).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ +265.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's receiving effectiveness has been refined this year, accumulating 8.90 yards-per-target vs just 7.73 mark last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line has given their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: least in the league.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has compiled far fewer air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (81.0 per game).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 54.5% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 5th percentile among WRs
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this season, averaging a mere 3.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.04 rate last season.