Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has put up a lot more receiving yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (34.0).

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's talent in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, accumulating a mere 3.97 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.04 figure last year.
The Houston Texans defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 137.0) versus wideouts this year.

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