Mark Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Mark Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Mark Ingram

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 5:25 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+106/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
The Carolina Panthers defensive ends project as the 4th-worst DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have called the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 61.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to be a less important option in his team's running game this week (30.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (47.6% in games he has played).
The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
Mark Ingram's rushing efficiency (3.56 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (11th percentile among RBs).
The Carolina Panthers defense has had the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.30 yards-per-carry.

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