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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+445/-500).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +450 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +445.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Ravens are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Rams defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • Mark Andrews places in the 87th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 36.1 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-focused offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.4% pass rate.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 44.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • While Mark Andrews has been responsible for 30.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Baltimore's pass game near the end zone in this game at 20.8%.
  • Mark Andrews has posted quite a few less air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

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